Friday, March 29, 2013

South African Post Card

Working in South Africa just after the first all-party elections in June-July 1994 was for me a profound experience; many of the thoughts I now have about our current Systemic Governance Research Program have their origins in events from that time.  I was a member of an ODA (a precursor to DfID) funded "co-learning" consultancy to LAPC (Land and Agricultural Policy Centre) in South Africa to work with the Ministries of Land Reform and Rural Development, Agriculture and the RDP Secretariat and NGO's to examine issues and opportunities for people-centred rural development (including future directions for agricultural extension). It was set up as a co-learning consultancy (probably the first ever funded by ODA) because, we argued, the context was so fluid that (i) external prescriptions would not be relevant; (ii) any learning would have to be applied in real-time and (iii) what was learnt had to stay in-country not go home with the consultants. 

The consultancy comprised over 20 people all-told made up of externals and internals to SA, roughly in equal balance (see a short reflection published in 1996 below).  A process/inquiry design was developed collaboratively and enacted over several weeks.  The outcomes of our learning activities were used to design an experiential workshop for key policy stakeholders towards the end (held at at Ithala Game Reserve).  A report was produced:

Cousins, B. ed (1994) Issues and options for institutional change for rural development, agriculture and land reform. Summary and Overview. Policy Paper 9, Land and Agriculture Policy Centre, Johannesburg. 69pp.

I have now been back to South Africa five times since 1994 so have been able to maintain a watching brief on the trajectory and travails of  South Africa's governance experiment underpinned, as it is, by espoused commitments to transformation (a key systems notion). As I write I am conscious that in 2012 the first cadre of SA citizens born post-apartheid were eligible to vote - these same citizens have only ever experienced an ANC-led government.  This is a point made several times by Martin Plaut and Paul Holden in their 2012 book 'Who Rules South Africa?'  

'Who Rules South Africa' which I have just finished reading is an excellent, timely book as many reviews testify.  It provides a systemic analysis of a very complex situation - but what reception and impact has it had internally?  As one internal review observes:

 'Who Rules was published before the Marikana massacre, but the judgments in the book should stand the test of time. The fallout from the events of 2012 – the massacre, the strikes, Julius Malema’s attempts at mass mobilisation, infighting in the lead-up to ANC electoral conference in Mangaung in December will demand an update in time.'

It was also published before the deal about future leadership sealed in December 2012 between current president Jacob Zuma and former COSATU heavywight turned businessman, Cyril Ramaphosa. Justice Malala writing in the Guardian observes that:

"Just the day before Zuma's party victory a survey found that his national approval level is 52%, while the defeated Motlanthe's is at 70%. Speculation is that Cyril Ramaphosa, the ANC's newly elected deputy leader, will slowly be pushed to become the face of the party and that his position as deputy president will take on elements of a prime minister, thus relegating Zuma to a ceremonial leadership role similar to the one played by Nelson Mandela in the 1990s.

But this is unlikely to happen. Zuma's victory can be ascribed largely to the fact that he is a man who is trying to do everything in his power to ensure that charges of corruption – controversially dropped against him under dodgy circumstances just weeks before he became president in 2009 – are not reinstated against him. For this to happen he has to keep his hand on the steering wheel, and is unlikely to cede power to a deputy."

In other words many of the systemic forces at play outlined in 'Who Rules' are likely to continue into the forseeable future.  This will be a real test for the South African people and the institutions they put into place after 1994. Given my own experiences I found the chapter called 'Sharing the Beloved Country: Land Reform Since 1994' in 'Who Rules' of particular interest.

In this chapter Martin Plaut describes the saga of land reform since 1994, although many would argue it is a saga of 'no land reform'.  I cannot reprise all the arguments here but it interests me that issues we uncovered in 1994 persist.  One issue in particular has been particularly persistent - that of framing the transformation pathway as one from poor, black farmers or landless blacks to commercial black farmers in the image of contemporary white farmers. We tried to dispel this inadequate framing in 1994 but clearly without success. Our arguments were that different images of farming and how land contributed to rural livelihoods was needed.  Plaut, quoting Ben Cousins (who was part of our consultancy) describes a form of multi-functional livelhood system emerging in KwaZulu-Natal.  The extent to which agriculture and food production are part of the mix seems uncertain however. On a personal level I have no doubt that over time more blacks should have access to land for food production but at the moment policy makers seem to be pursuing simplistic rather than systemic strategies. This is bascially a social, political and ideological issue that is not amenable to simple reponses or responses from those who do not understand 'rural realities'.

Plaut (p.330) cites Edward Lahiff, a proponent of the view that landholdings are too large and that 'they should be broken up to allow the emergence (or re-emergence) of a peasant sector.'  Clearly this could be part of a mixed policy response that as it progresses does not undermine food security and diminish, unduly, foreign earnings from agricultural exports.Unfortunately willingeness to respond to the complexity in a systemic manner seems to be largely missing.




Reflections on a Process Consultancy in South Africa 1994 (from Ison 1996)

"In 1994 a group of five expatriates and eight South Africans (SA) formed one of the first process consultancies to be funded by ODA.  Held over one month, it commenced just after the multi-party elections, at a time of considerable flux.  This made predetermined terms of reference (TOR) irrelevant and created the opportunity for the team in conjunction with relevant key stakeholders in SA to formulate TORs which were relevant to the new, dynamic, context. These were: "To contribute to the emergence of institutional forms which assist in the process of demand-driven, people-centred rural development and land reform {which} will explore the nature and quality of relationships between local, provincial and national structures currently emerging and which are likely to effect rural development processes which support rural people."

The team then proceeded to operate within a systemic action research framework (Checkland 1991; Ison 1993) to follow cycles of investigation (interviews, visits, participant observation, analysis of primary and secondary data) and synthesis through the design of participatory workshops in which relevant stakeholders were able to learn their way to new appreciations or gain new insights (Cousins 1994).  These workshops provided both challenge (to preconceived notions which seemed no longer relevant) and support (for enthusiasts who we recognised as the primary agents of change - see Russell and Ison 2000).

One of the outcomes of the process consultancy in SA in 1994 was the recognition of the need to build capacity to build capacity for sustainable natural resources management. Subsequently a position description appeared in the local press in connection with furthering the work we had initiated .   The person skills sought included: (i) process skills and systems perspective on institutional development and capacity building; (ii) training, adult learning and group facilitation skills; (iii) experience with participatory learning approaches in field and workshop settings (e.g. PRA); (iv) experience with working in large bureaucratic public agencies and facilitating institutional change; (v) personal authority and presence; (vi) negotiation and conflict management skills; (vi) willingness to travel extensively, particularly to remote rural areas.

This is a challenging job description and all too clearly such people are in short supply, but, I would argue, increasingly needed. For this reason the Open University is collaborating with IIED and other partners to bring the economies and recognised success of supported open learning to the global need to build capacity for sustainable natural resource management. Our approach will be systemic and clearly recognise the need for institutional change, when relevant, to be inside our system of concern."

Looking back on these reflections it is clear that people with these skills are still in short supply, but much needed and not only in South Africa.  I like to think that our OU STiP MSc is helping to fill the void.

References  

Checkland, P., 1991:  From framework through experience to learning: The essential nature of action research. In Nissen, H. E., Klein, H. K. and Hirscheim, R. (eds) Information Systems Research: Contemporary Approaches and Emergent Traditions. Elsevier, Amsterdam. 

Cousins, B., ed 1994: Issues and options for institutional change for rural development, agriculture and land reform. Summary and Overview. Policy Paper 9, Land and Agriculture Policy Centre, Johannesburg. 69pp.

Ison, R.L. 1996: Facilitating institutional change. Proceedings ANU/IIED/OFI Sustainable Forest Policy Short Course, Oxford. 

Russell D.B. and Ison, R. L., 2000: Enthusiasm: developing critical action for second-order R and D.  In Ison, R. L. and Russell D.B  (eds) Agricultural Extension and Rural Development. Breaking Out of Traditions. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.




Monday, March 25, 2013

Inequality for all - follow-up

Further to my post on the documentary 'Inequality for All' I commend this site to you as riveting viewing.  Given this analysis I am left even more convinced that what we are experiencing across the globe is the nadir of our western-governance systems. There is an urgent need for governance reform - institutions and processes that are attuned to 21st century realities.  Last year I commissioned a cartoon from Simon Kneebone to capture how I was thinking about this issue.

My argument is that as we enter the Anthropocene with its associated water, biodiversity, inequality etc crises then we cannot build responses on the old foundations - a business as usual approach is not feasible - to do so would, in Russ Ackoff's terms, involve doing the wrong thing righter, rather than doing the right thing. In principle (if not always in practice) acceptance that we are in the Anthropocene brings with it the need to reconsider all human invented institutions (norms, codes, rules, policies etc). In my cartoon I suggest we have to rebuild the foundations of what we do by focusing on governance, thinking, practice, institutions and investment (i.e. how and where are financial resources are allocated).

See Helen Wilding's blog for an elaboration of some of these ideas. I am grateful to Dave Griggs for drawing my attention to the inequality mashup.

In search of a systemic response to curbing media excess

It is a pity that the Australian response to this important social issue has been botched.  The response in Westminster seems more reasoned and workable - at least it was socialised through the parliamentary process unlike Australia.  Trevor Grant's excellent article explores the Australian issues.

Friday, March 01, 2013

ISSS 2013 in Vietnam

ISSS 2013: Hai Phong City, Viet Nam, July 14-19, 2013
 

CALL FOR PAPERS for The 57th World Conference of the International Society for the Systems Sciences

Curating the Conditions for a Thrivable Planet: Systemic Leverage Points for Emerging a Global Eco-Civilization

http://isss.org/world/Hai_Phong_City_2013

We warmly invite you to join us in a unique experience that will contribute significantly to making systems thinking more mainstream around the world. The 57th Annual ISSS World Conference will provide you with an opportunity to showcase advances in systemic sustainability initiatives from around the world with hands-on experience in the UNESCO Cat Ba Biosphere Reserve and at Hai Phong City, the first city in the world to be managed using an integral systems approach.

NEW:  Information for travel and visa applications, Tourist information, Accommodation and Registration fees have all been added to the conference web pages.


Abstracts are requested for the 57th Meeting of the International Society for the Systems Sciences


Important Dates

    April 30, 2013: The end of early, discounted registration.

    May 30, 2013: The deadline for full papers. Only ONE submission per
registered participant will be accepted for the conference.

    June 1, 2013. The final deadline for abstracts, recognising that
abstracts may not be developed into full papers for this conference. Only
ONE abstract per registered participant will be accepted for the conference.

    June 1, 2013. The deadline for poster abstract submission. Posters are
exempt from the one abstract/paper submission rule.


Call for Papers

Please see http://isss.org/world/preparing-and-submitting-abstracts-and-papers-2013 for preparing abstracts and full papers for the conference

Special integration groups (SIGs) and exploratory sessions are being planned
in the following areas (see the website for contact details for each group):

Agent-based Social Systems
Arts-based Inquiry
Balancing Individualism and Collectivism
Critical Systems Theory & Practice
Designing Educational Systems
Economic and Financial Systems
Evolutionary Development
Foundations of Information Systems
Hierarchy Theory
Human Systems Inquiry
Information Systems Design and Information Technology
ISSS Roundtable
Living Systems Analysis
Health and Systems Thinking
Organizational Transformation and Social Change
Relational Science
Research Towards General Theories of Systems
Service Systems Science
Socio-Ecological Systems
Spirituality and Systems
Student SIG
Systemic Approaches to Conflict and Crises
Systemic Approaches to Poverty and Disadvantage
Systems Applications in Business & Industry
Systems Biology and Evolution
Systems and Mental Health
Systems Modeling and Simulation
Systems Pathology

Social Programs

There will be a welcome reception on Sunday evening, July 14. The conference
banquet will be held on Thursday, July 18.

Registration Rates

Registration fees are available on the website and registration is OPEN!.

The registration fee includes:

* Conference attendance at all sessions
* The program/abstract book

  • Reception on Sunday July 14
  • Banquet on Thursday July 18
* ISSS membership fees for 2014
The registration fees also includes tea/coffee breaks and lunches from
Monday to Thursday.

The registration fee does not cover accommodation or transportation expenses
to and from the conference site.

Accommodation is available in a range of local hotels.

For further details please check the website at www.isss.org/world or
contact isssoffice@dsl.pipex.com

OU STiP Presence at the Public Sector Show

The Open University's STiP (Systems Thinking in Practice) postgraduate program will have a stand at this year's Public Sector Show on the 30th April.  The event will be held at the Business Design Centre in London.  If you have an interest in using systems thinking in practice in the public sector why not come and visit our stand - or let others know that we will be there.

For those in any doubt of the need for STiP read some of these excellent articles by Simon Caulkin.

Thursday, February 28, 2013

'Inequality for All'

Some years ago when in California colleagues spoke highly about Robert Reich academic, former Secretary for Labour and activist.  They described him as someone who thought systemically about complex issues.  Now he and his economic arguments have been the focus of a new documentary made by Jacob Kornbluth called ' Inequality for All'.  Take a look at this clip and see what you think.   Do his arguments apply elsewhere or are they only relevant to the US?   I am not yet sure of my own answers to these questions as I am yet to see the movie. I will keep you posted.

However Carole Cadwalladr in the Observer (UK) has reached her own conclusions which seem very persuasive to me:

"The powerful documentary Inequality for All was an unexpected hit at the recent Sundance film festival, arguing that US capitalism has fatally abandoned the middle classes while making the super-rich richer. Can its star, economist Robert Reich, do for economics what Al Gore did for the environment?"

This article is well worth a read.

Tuesday, February 26, 2013

Sr Lanka needs to be held to account

The case for Australia and other governments bringing pressure to bear on Sri Lanka in manifest ways, including sports boycotts, is made abundantly clear in this article. 

"RAJAPAKSA IGNORES HUMAN RIGHTS, SAYS UN COMMISSIONER
 

Melbourne, Tuesday --The UN Human Rights High Commissioner, Navi Pillay, says Sri Lanka has broken its promise to improve human rights in the island nation. Pillay said the Rajapaksa regime had failed to investigate atrocities, as it promised the UN a year ago, and that opposition leaders were still being killed or abducted.

In an interview with the Sri Lankan Sunday Times, Pillay said: “The Government has made little progress in pursuing true accountability and reconciliation measures... “...There is a long history of national inquiries in Sri Lanka that have led nowhere but to impunity.... There has to be justice, if there is to be lasting peace.”
 

Pillay has also issued a stern warning to the Sri Lankan Government not to repeat last year’s intimidation and threats against human rights defenders at next week’s UN Human Rights Council meeting to examine Sri Lanka’s progress on human rights and post-war reconciliation with Tamils.
 

The BBC reported last March that the Minister for Public Relations, Mervyn Silva, threatened to “break the limbs” of certain journalists and human rights workers whom he called “traitors.” His comments came a day after the UNHRC passed a resolution that contained criticism of the country’s human rights record, as well as a call to initiate an independent investigation into allegations against the Sri Lankan military of war crimes and crimes against humanity in the final days of the civil war in 2009.

Pillay said the Sri Lankan Government had been reprimanded by the UNHRC president for its behaviour at the 2012 session. She said she had written to the Sri Lankan Foreign Minister to protest that some of the threats against various groups were carried on his own website.
 

Next Monday the UN Human Rights Council will begin debating the second US resolution on Sri Lanka in 12 months. It is expected to call on Sri Lanka to honour its promise to the UN last year to initiate the independent war crimes investigation and to:

• Credibly investigate widespread allegations of extra-judicial killings and enforced disappearances.
• Demilitarize the north of Sri Lanka and re-evaluate detention policies.
• Implement impartial land dispute resolution mechanisms.
• Protect the right of freedom of expression for all and enact rule of law reforms.
 

Campaign for Tamil Justice spokesperson, Trevor Grant, said the first US resolution, which was supported by Australia, the UK, Canada and India, among others, was so weak that it encouraged Sri Lanka to continue its program of ethnic-cleansing against the Tamils. “It was the equivalent of a wink and nod to Sri Lanka to carry on persecuting Tamils. A draft of the second one looks about the same,” Grant said. “Until the UN faces the reality on the ground in Sri Lanka, that a genocide is taking place and it needs to act strongly, then nothing much will change.”
 

The International Crisis Group and Human Rights Watch have recently issued scathing reports on the Sri Lankan Government’s abuse of human rights. They have called on the countries meeting at the UNHRC next week to implement much stronger action this time.
 

A letter signed by 133 Roman Catholic, Anglican and Methodist pastors and nuns in Sri Lanka has asked the UNHRC to set up an independent war crimes’ investigation, claiming the Government does not have the political will to do it. At least 40,000 Tamil civilians died after being herded into supposed “safe zones” in May, 2009. A 2011 UN report said there were credible allegations that these people were then shelled and bombed by the Sri Lankan military. The report said that there was evidence that the Tamil Tigers may have committed war crimes.
 

Pillay explained why she believed it was important for the independent investigation to go ahead.
“Because tens of thousands of civilians were reportedly killed. Because there are very credible allegations and some strong pictorial evidence and witness accounts indicating that war crimes and other serious international crimes...took place on a large scale,” she said. 


“There is a long history of national inquiries in Sri Lanka that have led nowhere but to impunity. This makes such an international investigation essential. Crimes like these cannot simply be ignored or pushed aside. There has to be justice, if there is to be lasting peace.”
 

In a speech to the London School of Economics recently, Pillay drew the comparison between UN reports on Sri Lanka and Rwanda, where a Government-orchestrated genocide against the minority Tutsu population in 1994 saw almost one million people die while the international community did virtually nothing. The Petrie report on Sri Lanka was an admission that the UN had made a grave error by leaving the war zones towards the end of the war in 2009. It was a decision that cost the lives of thousands of innocent Tamils as the Sri Lankan military ruthlessly attacked civilians in what became known as the “war without witness.” “Rwanda’s lessons were not implemented in Sri Lanka,” Pillay said.
 

Campaign for Tamil Justice calls upon the UNHRC to:

• Immediately take the strongest action required to stop the persecution and the ethnic-cleansing of Tamils in Sri Lanka by the Government. This includes Government-sponsored land theft, destruction of Tamil homes and transplanting of Sinhalese citizens into traditional Tamil regions, demolition of cultural icons such as Tamil shrines, and the massive military presence used to control of the daily lives of Tamils in the northern and eastern regions.


• Initiate immediately an independent international investigation into allegations by a UN panel of Sri Lankan military war crimes and crimes against humanity towards the end of the war.


• Stop the murder, torture, jailings, beatings and disappearances of Tamils and fully support the prosecution of those responsible.


• Demand an end to the murders and disappearances of Sri Lankan journalists. Demand full investigation and prosecution of those responsible for these crimes.


• Demand a sustainable solution to Tamil grievances. This includes giving Tamils political autonomy and empowering them by allowing self-determination in traditional Tamil regions.
 

For further information contact Campaign for Tamil Justice"

Monday, February 25, 2013

Conference with a difference

Conference registration and hotel reservations for Modes of Explanation May 21-25 in Paris are now open.  Updated information at http://modes.isce.edu/update

To register please visit: http://modes.isce.edu

For more conference information please visit:  http://modesofexplanation.org

Modes of Explanation
Three days to discuss and learn about advances in modes of explanation. A look at how our mode of explanation affects our affordances for action.

Modes of Explanation is a discussion conference, the actual presentations of attendee's work will occur on-line and only a five minute or less synopsis will precede the discussion session during which the work is discussed.

The challenge to prospective attendees is to prepare a presentation which can evoke meaningful discussion amongst the attendees. One's presentation could, for example, focus on: 1) how we go about explaining and the limitations/strengths of our approach, 2) what kinds of explanations "work" and which kinds "fail" 3) the context dependency of explanatory  form 4) the differences in use between "good enough explanation" and "truth claims" 5) the need for/use of mechanisms and "narratives" as a meaning of "explaining" (making understandable  in a coherent way) some aspect of complexity or of a real in life complex system 6) how a reliance on sameness or of category as a simplifying reduction was inadequate to the situation being examined or 7) how modes of explanation vary by discipline.

Keynotes: Paul Thagard, Nancy Nersessian, David Snowden, Rukmini Bhaya Nair, Sandra Mitchell, Kevin Kelly, Hugo Letiche, Timothy Allen, Zack Kopplin & more
 
Michael Lissack
Executive Director and ISCE Professor of Meaning in Organizations

 
 
Please consider attending the Modes of Explanation conference in Paris May 21-25, 2013.  I am sorry not to be going but will be at a conference in Bonn 'Water and the Anthropocene' which runs at the same time.  We have two papers scheduled to be presented at the Bonn Conference.

Sunday, February 17, 2013

'Evidence Centres' and a UK Chief Social Scientist

As this article from  Penny Sarchet describes the UK Cabinet Office is about to create six new 'What Works Centres' to assess whether ideas for new policies can work.  I do not know whether to be excited or appalled!  My inclination based on this article (and thus limited background appreciation) is the latter.  Why?  Well for a start these centres seem to be based on a particular paradigm of  what works and how what works might be assessed. And underpinning this a particular view of policy development and deployment suggests itself. I hope I am wrong. I also hope that one centre has systems thinking in practice capability and methodological skills.

Whilst I am all for strengthening the role that social science research plays it is a very broad church with myriad epistemological pitfalls - I wonder how the post will be described and the person chosen? And how will they practice in rleation to social science and other sciences? Might there be an opportunity to cultivate a reflexive, community of practice of chief scientists?

"Cabinet Office plans ‘evidence’ centres
 As government prepares to announce chief social scientist

 by Penny Sarchet

Around six institutes are being planned, which the government is calling What Works centres. The centres’ assessments will be used to inform decision-making in government departments. More details are expected by the end of February.

Research Fortnight has learned that the centres are to be modelled on the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence. NICE assesses evidence on the effectiveness of medical treatments and provides guidance to the National Health Service on whether these treatments should be purchased.

The Cabinet Office, which also houses the government’s Behavioural Insights team, is known to favour a NICE-type approach in other areas of government policy. 

In 2011, the Cabinet Office announced in a white paper that the government would consult on how to establish credible accreditation bodies that would mirror the work of NICE in other areas of public services. It said that public services require “robust accreditation of what works”.

Leading social scientists have welcomed the news. David Hand, professor of statistics at Imperial College London, says: “It’s about time we put more effort into evidence-based social policy.”
Keiron Flanagan, lecturer in science and technology policy at the University of Manchester, adds that NICE-like bodies could be important for pointing out what he calls “dodgy” claims made by ministers about policies that are not supported by evidence. But the centres, which will not be directly testing new policies, would need good evidence to work with. “In many policy areas, there is not good evidence available,” he says.

Similarly, Mariana Mazzucato, professor at the University of Sussex’s Science and Technology Policy Unit SPRU, warns that external advice cannot substitute for a lack of expertise within government, something that she says the US is better at. “The Department of Energy is run by a Nobel [laureate],” she says. “Just as important as thinking about external ‘advice’ is the need to reinvigorate the status of government, so that it attracts the brightest young minds, and hence sector-specific expertise and talent.” 

“Instead, what we have been witnessing in the UK is the downgrading of what government is seen to be able to do, and its budget to do it,” she adds.

Hand, in contrast, says: “Having external and independent opinions is very important—not only to ensure that the right things are done, untarnished by ideology, but also so that people can see that the right things are being done.”

In a related development, a long-awaited decision on the appointment of a government chief social scientist is thought to be imminent. The naming of such an adviser is expected to be among the first announcements that Mark Walport will make after becoming government chief scientific adviser in April.

“This is something that’s been talked about since [former Home Office chief scientific adviser] Paul Wiles retired,” comments Hand. “Clearly it’s a good idea. It seems odd to me that there isn’t one, [as] you could describe a lot of our economic and social problems as problems of social science. We live in a society, we function in an economy—those are all social science areas. I’m surprised, to be honest, that there isn’t more government emphasis on the social sciences and the solutions provided by the social sciences,” he says.

Flanagan, however, says he has conflicting feelings about the possibility of a chief social scientist. “I would be reluctant to see social science separated out from natural and physical science, and I imagine that a chief social scientist would not have the clout of the chief scientific adviser. However, I don’t believe for a moment that the UK science lobby, who see the CSA not just as an adviser but as a champion for science in government, would ever accept a social scientist as government CSA.” "

Mooching around MOOCs

What are we to make of the phenomenon of MOOCs?   I doubt anyone involved in Higher Education does not have a view.  There are the enthusiasts and the sceptics as a plethora of recent articles reveal e.g. The Crisis in Higher Education, by Nicholas Carr.  An example of the sceptic perspective is:

"The promoters of MOOCs have a “fairly naïve perception of what the analy­sis of large data sets allows,” says Timothy Burke, a history professor at Swarthmore College. He contends that distance education has historically fallen short of expectations not for technical reasons but, rather, because of “deep philosophical problems” with the model. He grants that online education may provide efficient training in computer programming and other fields characterized by well-established procedures that can be codified in software. But he argues that the essence of a college education lies in the subtle interplay between students and teachers that cannot be simulated by machines, no matter how sophisticated the programming."

It certainly seems true that most of the courses that have been presented to date do not involve what educators call epistemic learning.  In many ways the contestation is between learning and instruction, a point taken up rather elegantly by Nicholas Negroponte.

What neither article does is refer to the 40+ year history of The Open University (UK) in developing very effective pedagogic models to underpin large scale supported open learning courses.  Having now announced that it will take a leading role in a UK consortium (called FutureLearn Ltd) to deliver MOOCs I hope the experience of the OU will take the debate into new territory that has as its essence a pedagogy of personal and social transformation. After all that is what the world needs...and at scale. Or are we seeing a playing-out of the corporatisation of universities and with it the commodification of instruction (as I would not care to call it learning)? 

Thus far, as Stamenka Uvalic-Trumbic notes:

'Research universities, which have little previous experience of online teaching, dominate the MOOCs offerings and this is evident in the outdated behaviourist pedagogy most in evidence. Most MOOCs are little more than OER with test material added.'

The illusion of certainty

Another good article by Ross Gittins appeared in The Age last week. In relation to the Australian Reserve Bank and its critics Gittins, in an article entitled ' Reserve Bank bursts bubble of certainty', observes:

"The other reason the Reserve has yet to get things badly wrong is that no one understands better than it how fallible its forecasts are - all forecasts, for that matter. And it's never afraid to admit its fallibility to the world."

He goes on to say:

"But if economic forecasts are so universally inaccurate, how come we hear so little about confidence intervals? It's partly because economists don't like advertising the considerable limitations of their art. They don't even like reminding themselves of their own fallibility."




Lumpers and splitters

It is generally widely known that botanists fall into one of two camps - lumpers or splitters.  In a sense these are boundary judgments that systemists appreciate.  The lumpers see traits in common that warrant a wider boundary; splitters see differences that to them warrant demarcation and distinction.  Unfortunatly the actions of botanists leaves the likes of tourists or journalists or novelists out of sympathy with their actions for their's is an all or none systematic (not systemic) choice.  Take the acacia for example - species that are symbolically and culturally significant in  much of Africa and Australia. No longer can I legitimately (in botanical terms) refer to the thorny acacia of Africa (as I did in my last post). Instead by rights I should have referred to the spiny vachellia, or perhaps senegalia!

According to Wikipedia:

"The genus Acacia previously contained roughly 1300 species, about 960 of them native to Australia, with the remainder spread around the tropical to warm-temperate regions of both hemispheres, including Europe, Africa, southern Asia, and the Americas. However, in 2005 the genus was divided into five separate genera under the tribe "Acacieae." The genus Acacia was retained for the majority of the Australian species and a few in tropical Asia, Madagascar and Pacific Islands. Most of the species outside Australia, and a small number of Australian species, were reclassified into Vachellia and Senegalia. The two final genera, Acaciella and Mariosousa, each contain about a dozen species from the Americas."


Kenya Post Card 2

On my last night in Nairobi I went with friends to see a local movie 'Nairobi Half Life' which was excellent.  The movie itself, as well as the venue, seemed to me to hold all the contrasts that characterise Kenya today - elegance, poverty, violence, solidarity.

On our last morning at Lake Nakuru National Park we were alerted to a predator by the impala; scanning the vicinity I spotted a leopard jumping over a fallen tree. Later it wondered across the road in front of us in search of an impala kid.  In all we saw about 18 different species of mammal and countless birds. The lake is very full as my photos below show; not many of the flamingo for which the park is famous were present. My colleagues and I, though not experts, could not help but feel that the biology of the park was out of kilter.  We surmised that the absence of elephant was having negative effects on thorny acacia recruitment and, instead, favouring excess weedy species invasion as undergrowth.  This may have been exacerbated by a very heavy stocking rate of Cape Buffalo. 

The park is also touted in most of the promotional literature as the site of some of the main Euphorbia forests in Kenya.  What these same web-sites do not mention is that almost none of this unique forest remains. I am still to find an explanation for the forest's disappearance.  Perhaps over grazing by black rhino, one of my Sth African colleagues suggested? 

The research that took me to Kenya concerned how social and biophysical scientists were working together to address issues of food security and poverty alleviation. Historically these two groups of researchers have not always worked well together.  I now know much more about African Swine Fever - one of the projects of concern. I left impressed with the efforts being made.











2013 ASC Conference in UK

The ASC conference this year will be in Bolton UK from 28 July to 3 or 4 August, including pre and post conferences. Bolton is where Mass Observation originated. 

Theme:   Acting—Learning—Understanding
Dates:  Main conference 30 July to 2 August; pre conference 28 and 29
July; post conference 3 and 4 August.
Location: Institute of Educational Cybernetics, Bolton University, Lancashire, UK.


Bolton is an old industrial town on the northern fringe of Manchester, UK, home of the Industrial Revolution and also of early British computing. It is near some of the most beautiful scenery and coast in the UK including the North Welsh coast and Anglesea Island, the Pennine mountains and the Lake District. The Scottish border is about an hour or so’s drive. It is wonderfully located for a holiday. Manchester is the real revival city in the UK and its international airport has good international connections including with the US. London is a 2 hour 10 minute train journey away.

Friday, January 18, 2013

Kenya Post Card 1

I have been in Nairobi now for  almost a week, secluded in the very comfortable ILRI campus for most of that time. This is my first visit to Kenya.   In many ways the experience, at least environmentally, is not new - it is has all the familiar and enjoyable elements of the highland tropics. Much of the vegetation is very familiar with kikuyu grass and Australian tree species widespread.  Of course socially and politically it is far more complex and, thus far, beyond experience - see this TED talk for example.  That said, electioneering has begun in earnest for the Presidential and associated elections due in March. This is a significant moment for Kenya as a new constitution is being enacted with a new regional level of elected governance.

I have been impressed by the interest Kenyan's take in their politics - a contrast I feel to much of the apathy exhibited in say Australia or the UK.  Although highly disillusioned with their politicians they do not seem to have switched off. In contrast my first impressions, from an admittedly limited number of conversations, is that many are actively interested and engaged with developed views of how to make things better.

Our visit to Nairobi National Park early last Sunday was rewarding - we saw 17 species of mammal and many different birds including ostrich, two types of bustard, cranes etc. It was a rather surreal experience viewing these animals in an 'old natural habitat' with the burgeoning Nairobi skyline in the background - an example of the new 'natural'!